Loading…
AFS 2016 has ended
Friday, October 21 • 8:00am - 9:15am
7D4 Time Diversification:It Is Not About Variance Reduction

Sign up or log in to save this to your schedule, view media, leave feedback and see who's attending!

The concept of time diversification has been debated extensively. The key question is: Are stocks safer in the long run? In our paper, we argue that even though the variance of total returns increases with the holding period, stocks do become safer. We argue that what is important is the relation of the mean to the variance of annual returns. For example, as the time horizon increases, a high mean and low variance investment, will result in the mean of total compounded returs grow faster than the increase in the variance.  At one point, we have an investment with a high meqn return and a larger variance among mostly positive returns._x000D_
We use Monte Carlo simulation to examine the relationships and demostrate that the historical performance of stocks, bonds and t-bills fit the model._x000D_

Presenters
RC

Ruben C. Trevino

Associate Professor, Seattle University

Friday October 21, 2016 8:00am - 9:15am PDT
Parlor D

Attendees (2)